Cal Mitchell’s Home Run Highlights a Problem This Season

Cal Mitchell is seeing better numbers in his return to the majors.

I spoke with Mitchell last month, one day before he was optioned to Indianapolis. At the time, he had a .193/.227/.325 line, with a 26.1% strikeout rate, and a 4.5% walk rate.

The numbers were low, but Mitchell was making solid contact. He only had 8.2% soft contact when he was sent down, along with a 26.2% line drive rate.

"Anybody would like to have higher numbers," Mitchell told me before going down. "I know that I’m hitting the ball hard. I only have 80 at-bats, so those things will level out as more at-bats come as I continue to impact the ball like I want to."

Mitchell went to Indianapolis, where he continued hitting the ball hard, resulting in a .375/.400/.479 line in 12 games. His walk rate was still low...



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but it seems he may need an adjustment to his swing to maximize that potential”

Who has confidence that we have coaches at the upper levels, especially in the majors, who will help Mitchell with this?


If Mitchell hitting a HR is another sign of a problem this year, give me more problems.

Instead though, how about analyzing the half dozen untalented mooks our GM trots in every year to “fill out the roster”! In 2022 that group included VanMeter, Tsutsugo, Marisnick, Alford, Allen, M Perez, Gamel and Chavis. In 2021 we had Phil Evans, Wilmer Difo, EGon, Troy Stokes, Ka’ai Tom, John Nogowski, Chavis, M Perez, and Tsutsugo.

Who did our younger players have to emulate the past few years? Maybe next year we don’t need the “fill out the roster” folks? In fact, maybe we unload all of them this year, say next week?


A Fangraphs article this week made a similar point about Ke’Bryan. “His swing is geared for grounders, and he makes his loudest contact at low angles. That explains the anemic power numbers despite plus raw power. If he doesn’t fix that, he’ll be more average bat than slugger.”


Tim, I still can’t access the premium articles, despite having an active subscription.


Yeah having the same problem here.




He and hayes should go to the same launch angle camp this winter, could both be well beyond 110 wRC+ with how hard they hit the ball


The Bucs have a bunch of ‘nice’ prospects, but none that I would call ‘impact’ players that can carry a team. Cruz MIGHT get there, but hitters with inordinately low walk rates combined with inordinately high K rates rarely do well in the majors for long. There ARE exceptions, but we have to hope Cruz is one of them.

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