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Morning Report: Creating Space on the Pirates’ Roster This Fall

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As you could see from the list of Rule 5 eligible players in the Pirates’ organization, the team is going to need some roster space this fall.  That’s all the more true because the Pirates currently have six players on the 60-day injured list who’ll have to be added back to the 40-man roster after the season.  That means six players have to come off just to accommodate those players.

But have no fear!  Potential roster space abounds on this team.  The current roster has a level of flotsam that hasn’t been seen since the earliest, abysmal days of Neal Huntington’s tenure as general manager.  They could remove darn near half the roster and never miss anybody.  Here’s a list of possibilities:

Free Agents

This is easy enough.  Left-hander Francisco Liriano, catcher Francisco Cervelli and outfielder Melky Cabrera will all be free agents.  It wouldn’t make sense for the Pirates to retain any of them.  Liriano and Cabrera built up some goodwill with strong early-season performances, but Liriano has actually struggled for much of the season and Cabrera has tanked in the second half.  The former isn’t really that effective any more, as his control remains poor (4.3 BB/9) and his slider isn’t the dominant pitch it once was.  His ERA (3.39), as is often the case with relievers, is misleading.  He has an xFIP of 4.89.  Cabrera’s hitting has steadily fallen off for some time now; he currently has an OPS+ of 85 and a WRC+ of 83.  Combined with the fact that he’s a DH trying to play the outfield, FanGraphs gives him a -0.8 WAR.

Cervelli is going to be in a tough position during the off-season.  He probably won’t get more than a minor league deal.  That wouldn’t be helpful to the Pirates, who are already faced with not knowing whether Elias Diaz is really a major league catcher, given his very poor offense and defense this year.  It’s possible he hasn’t recovered from the illness that kept him out early in the year, but adding the uncertainty of a catcher who may need to give up catching due to concussion issues will add exponentially to the uncertainty at a position they need to upgrade.

Other Possibilities

A big chunk of this list is the result of the Pirates’ desperate attempts to find pitchers who meet their ultra-cheap standards.  Since Huntington’s efforts to find pitchers this season have been mind-numbing failures, there are a lot of pitchers on the roster who simply won’t be missed if they’re dropped.  Of course, Huntington has a history of valuing years of cheap control over talent, so it may be hard for him to part with many of these guys, regardless of their performance, which doesn’t seem to be a concern.  Because of that, the number of pitchers who get dropped this fall will serve as a partial measure of the team’s desire, if any, to improve.

Rookie Davis, RHP:  This should be easy.  Davis has never had more than middling success in the minors, has always struggled in AAA and has gotten torched in his brief major league chances.  And he’s missed much of this year with forearm problems.  He does have an option left.

Montana DuRapau, RHP:  DuRapau’s stuff is fringy and the Pirates added him to the roster at a time when they were desperate for live bodies.  (Well, that’s pretty much all year . . . .)  He hasn’t been effective in his brief chances.  It’s pretty likely that he’d clear waivers and could be outrighted to AAA.

Luis Escobar, RHP:  This probably won’t happen, as Escobar has outstanding stuff, but his command and control haven’t progressed at all in the last several years.  He has a 5.2 BB/9 at Indianapolis and struggled badly in his four major league appearances.  He still has an option left.

Geoff Hartlieb, RHP:  Hartlieb is one of several pitchers listed here who throw hard but have significant command issues.  He’s had a very rough time in his major league appearances, but he hasn’t had the control issues in AAA that Escobar has had and he’s less experienced.  He also has two options left.

Clay Holmes, RHP:  Yet another pitcher with good stuff and poor command, Holmes remains an extreme groundball pitcher and he’s started missing bats in the last year or so.  He’s also walking a batter an inning in AAA this year and 6.2 per nine innings in the majors.  He has no options left, so the team won’t be able to shuttle him back and forth while he continues his long search for the strike zone.  It’s one thing to carry one or two pitchers with good stuff who are trying to develop control, but so far Huntington doesn’t seem to believe that you can’t afford to have a quarter of your 40-man roster and most of your major league bullpen made up of them.  The Pirates are going to have to start making some choices.

Parker Markel, RHP:  The main argument in Markel’s favor is that he hasn’t had time to establish the same frustrating track records as pitchers like Holmes and Dovydas Neverauskas.  He throws hard, although not as hard as some of the other pitchers here, and, sure enough, he’s had control problems since he reached the upper minors.  He moved to the bullpen last year in independent ball and looks interesting because he’s struck out a lot of hitters this year, first in the minors with Seattle and recently at Indianapolis.  But . . . control problems.  Along with some other guys here, it’d make sense for him to get a look in the majors in September.

Alex McRae, RHP:  McRae is, at best, an average pitcher in AAA, which is not a sign that he belongs in the majors.  He’s been badly overmatched in his chances with the Pirates.  He’ll almost certainly come off the roster in the off-season, as he’s strictly an emergency option.  He passed through waivers before and will again.  It’d behoove him not to elect free agency, because he’s unlikely to find the opportunities elsewhere that he’s gotten with the Pirates.

Dovydas Neverauskas, RHP:  Neverauskas throws in the upper-90s and his control isn’t as bad as, say, Holmes’, but he’s been just dreadful in his chances with the Pirates, including 15 gopher balls in just over 60 innings.  He’s out of options and he clearly shouldn’t be on the 2020 opening day roster, unless something miraculous happens between now and then, so it’s hard to see him keeping his roster spot.

Yefry Ramirez, RHP:  The Orioles have an historically bad pitching staff and they had no use for Ramirez.  He also has no options after this year.  Enough said.

Yacksel Rios, RHP:  Rios has a career ERA of 6.38 in 53 major league games and 4.83 in AAA.  He does have an option left, which is worrisome.

Chris Stratton, RHP:  Stratton is the one and only pitcher Huntington has picked up who hasn’t been horrendous (unless you count Markel’s three innings).  Unlike most of the other pitchers here, he has a track record of being semi-passable (except for the early part of this year), and he’s pitched very well for the Pirates.  Depending on what happens the rest of the season, he probably deserves a longer look.  He’s out of options.

Erik Gonzalez, UT:  The Pirates’ decision to hand Gonzalez their shortstop job was the clearest indication of how little effort they’re putting into upgrading the team.  There’s never been any reason to consider him more than what he was in Cleveland:  A marginal utility player with (depending on your metric of choice) average or slightly above defense at short and no bat.  He’ll be 28 in a few days, so the team’s blatherings about his potential, as if he was still a prospect, were nonsensical.  A guy like this makes sense only as an up-and-down player while he still has options and as a guy you stash at AAA on a minor league deal after the options are gone, as Gonzalez’ are.  But he’s cheap, which was always the point, so I don’t expect them to drop him.

Kevin Kramer, 2B:  The Pirates haven’t shown much interest in Kramer.  Despite having several opportunities to call him up, he’s made it to Pittsburgh just long enough to draw one walk.  He’s a bat-first second baseman who’s having a below league average season in the suddenly high-octane International League and he’ll be 26 in six weeks.  I doubt he’d be one of the team’s top choices to free up a spot, but given their lack of interest I could see it happening if the right, hard-throwing reliever with a 6.50 ERA became available.

PLAYOFF PUSH

Indianapolis has 14 games left. They trail by 11 games in the division and 8.5 games in the wild card.

Altoona has been eliminated from the playoffs.

Bradenton has 12 games left. They trail by 10 games in the division. They can be eliminated as early as today. I’ll note that MiLB has them eliminated already, but that’s an error. Their elimination number is two.

Greensboro has 13 games left. They trail by seven in the division and they are three games back for the second best record, which could possibly get them a playoff spot.

Morgantown has 13 games left. They lead by a 1/2 game in the division.

Bristol has 8 games left. They are a 1/2 game out of first place and one game ahead of the third place team. Two teams make the playoffs in each division.

GCL Pirates have been eliminated from the playoffs.

DSL Pirates1 have been eliminated from the playoffs.

DSL Pirates2 have clinched a playoff spot

TODAY’S SCHEDULE

Today’s Starter and Notes: The Pittsburgh Pirates won 4-1 over the Washington Nationals on Tuesday night. They will send out Joe Musgrove for his 26th start tonight. He gave up two runs over 7.1 innings against the Chicago Cubs last time out, with no walks and nine strikeouts. In his prior two starts combined, he allowed 11 runs in 8.2 innings. Musgrove did not pitch when these two teams met earlier in the season. The Nationals will counter with veteran lefty Patrick Corbin, who has a 3.34 ERA in 153.2 innings, with 180 strikeouts and a 1.18 WHIP. He gave up one run over six innings against the Milwaukee Brewers last time out, which followed two runs over six innings against the New York Mets. Corbin had eight strikeouts in each outing. He gave up one run over seven innings against the Pirates earlier this season, striking out 11 batters.

The minor league schedule includes Indianapolis playing a doubleheader today after a rain out last night. Alex McRae and Dario Agrazal are the listed scheduled starters, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see one of them join the Pirates today after two straight days of bullpen games. Domingo Robles goes for Altoona. He gave up four runs on 11 hits over six innings in his last start. His previous outing was his best since joining Altoona, seven shutout innings. Bradenton sends out Brad Case, who has allowed four runs in each of his last two starts, though he has also struck out 12 batters over those 11 innings. Greensboro sends out Will Kobos, who has allowed just two runs in his last three starts combined. Bristol’s Luis Ortiz is coming off of his worst start of the season. He gave up six runs in 3.2 innings six days ago. In his previous four starts combined, he allowed five runs. Morgantown is on their All-Star break until tomorrow. They are sending four players to the NYPL All-Star game tonight.

MLB: Pittsburgh (52-73) vs Nationals (68-57) 7:05 PM
Probable starter: Joe Musgrove (4.59 ERA, 124:32 SO/BB, 137.1 IP)

AAA: Indianapolis (61-65) @ Toledo (58-68) 5:35 PM DH (season preview)
Probable starter: Alex McRae (5.15 ERA, 86:38 SO/BB, 101.1 IP) and/or Dario Agrazal (4.78 ERA, 55:12 SO/BB, 64.0 IP)

AA: Altoona (63-64) vs Hartford (66-59) 6:30 PM  (season preview)
Probable starter: Domingo Robles (4.83 ERA, 57:18 SO/BB, 82.0 IP)

High-A: Bradenton (68-58) @ Palm Beach (54-68) 6:30 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Brad Case (4.35 ERA, 46:21 SO/BB, 62.0 IP)

Low-A: Greensboro (73-52) @ Delmarva (84-41) 7:05 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Will Kobos (2.84 ERA, 17:9 SO/BB, 19.0 IP)

Short-Season A: Morgantown (34-27) @ Auburn (21-40) 7:00 PM 8/22 (season preview)
Probable starter: TBD

Rookie: Bristol (30-29) vs Pulaski (39-21) 6:30 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Luis Ortiz (4.10 ERA, 31:17 SO/BB, 41.2 IP)

GCL: Pirates (15-30) vs Rays (21-24) 12:00 PM (season preview)

DSL: Pirates1 (32-36) vs Indians (26-39) 10:30 AM (season preview)

DSL: Pirates2 (53-15) vs Mariners (33-35) 10:30 AM (season preview)

HIGHLIGHTS

From Indianapolis on Monday, this is not a repeat from yesterday, Ke’Bryan Hayes homers for the second day in a row

Wilbur Miller
Wilbur Miller
Having followed the Pirates fanatically since 1965, Wilbur Miller is one of the fast-dwindling number of fans who’ve actually seen good Pirate teams. He’s even seen Hall-of-Fame Pirates who didn’t get traded mid-career, if you can imagine such a thing. His first in-person game was a 5-4, 11-inning win at Forbes Field over Milwaukee (no, not that one). He’s been writing about the Pirates at various locations online for over 20 years. It has its frustrations, but it’s certainly more cathartic than writing legal stuff. Wilbur is retired and now lives in Bradenton with his wife and three temperamental cats.

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