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P2Live: Pirate Pitching Falters as Cub Curse Continues

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Despite the losses the last two nights, the Pirates remain in first place in a very weak NL Central division. There are currently zero teams with a positive run differential in the division.

Here are the standings, by wins and losses.

  1. Pittsburgh 34-32
  2. Milwaukee 34-34
  3. Cincinnati 34-35
  4. Chicago 30-37
  5. St. Louis 27-42

By the records thus far, the Pirates are getting beat by one of the worst teams in the division. Here’s a look by run differential.

  1. Chicago -1
  2. Pittsburgh -10
  3. St. Louis -13
  4. Milwaukee -25
  5. Cincinnati -29

The Cubs have been unlucky to this point to have the record they have — just as the Padres are unlucky in the NL West with a +27 run differential at 33-34. The Cubs should be close to .500, putting them within range of the top of the NL Central. The Pirates are down after the last two games, but have been hovering around that .500 mark.

I wouldn’t say the Cubs are definitively better than the Pirates, despite the last two games. I would say this looks like the battle of the best two teams in the NL Central.

Despite the current records, you can see how Milwaukee and Cincinnati might regress toward the bottom of the division in the second half. They’re both .500 teams who are being outscored like they’re .450 teams. The Cubs, meanwhile, are playing like a .500 team, but stuck at .450. As we’ve seen the last two nights, they should be treated as one of the best teams in the division.

The question is whether the Pirates are in that mix. I believe they are, and I don’t think it’s a groundbreaking statement to say the Pirates could use a starter to boost their chances of winning the NL Central this year.

Johan Oviedo will take the mound for the Pirates tonight, hoping to avoid a three game sweep against the Chicago Cubs. I really like Oviedo. He’s got a 2.62 ERA in 34.1 innings over the last month, and has gone 6+ with two earned runs in each of his last two starts. The Pirates could use that positive momentum tonight.

Down in the minors, the highlight of the schedule is Braxton Ashcraft, who has been showing velocity and control in his return from Tommy John.

PIRATES GAME PREVIEWS

PIRATES (34-32) AT CUBS

Game Time: 8:05 PM EST
Pirates Starter: Johan Oviedo, RHP (3-5, 4.16)
Cubs Starter: Marcus Stroman, RHP (7-4, 2.42)
Pirates Lineups:

Tim Williams
Tim Williams
Tim is the owner, producer, editor, and lead writer of PiratesProspects.com. He has been running Pirates Prospects since 2009, becoming the first new media reporter and outlet covering the Pirates at the MLB level in 2011 and 2012. His work can also be found in Baseball America, where he has been a contributor since 2014 and the Pirates' correspondent since 2019.

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