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Averaging Out the Top 100 Prospect Rankings

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Every year after the last top 100 prospect rankings come out, we average out those rankings for the Pittsburgh Pirates on the lists to give a better view of how the industry views prospects. This year we are using Baseball America, Baseball Prospectus, Fangraphs and MLB Pipeline. All of those sources use their own opinions of the prospects and gather information from around baseball as well.

The Pirates had three prospects make every top 100 list this year. Fangraphs was the only source that had more than three Pirates on their list, so we will start with their list:

30. Ke’Bryan Hayes

32. Oneil Cruz

34. Mitch Keller

61. Travis Swaggerty

78. Tahnaj Thomas

98. Liover Peguero

Baseball Prospectus put out their list three weeks ago and they had…

53. Mitch Keller

55. Oneil Cruz

63. Ke’Bryan Hayes

MLB Pipeline released their list two days before Baseball Prospectus. Pipeline had the Pirates ranked…

39. Keller

41. Hayes

64. Cruz

Baseball America was the first list out, posting their top 100 back on January 22nd. Their rankings are as follows:

52. Keller

56. Hayes

57. Cruz

So those are the four rankings, along with links to the original articles when they were released. Here are the average rankings for those top three players:

  1. Keller 44.5

2. Hayes 47.5

3. Cruz 52

That’s the same order that we have those three players in our 2020 Prospect Guide. I’d hesitate at putting Travis Swaggerty at #4, despite the favorable rating on Fangraphs. Baseball America had a list of every player considered for their top 100 and the two Pirates who made the list of “just missed” players were Quinn Priester and Cody Bolton at the time (see below). Priester was also mentioned by MLB Pipeline as someone who just missed their top 100, and it was a small list of players. He was also #4 on the Baseball Prospectus top ten for the Pirates.

So despite not making any list, Priester would likely rank ahead of Swaggerty. However, Liover Peguero might also rank ahead of Swaggerty, because he was on that BA “just missed” list as well, besides making the top 100 for Fangraphs. Without seeing the new MLB Pipeline top 30 list for the Pirates (which should be out soon) that’s just a possibility and not an assumption.

 

John Dreker
John Dreker
John started working at Pirates Prospects in 2009, but his connection to the Pittsburgh Pirates started exactly 100 years earlier when Dots Miller debuted for the 1909 World Series champions. John was born in Kearny, NJ, two blocks from the house where Dots Miller grew up. From that hometown hero connection came a love of Pirates history, as well as the sport of baseball. When he didn't make it as a lefty pitcher with an 80+ MPH fastball and a slider that needed work, John turned to covering the game, eventually focusing in on the prospects side, where his interest was pushed by the big league team being below .500 for so long. John has covered the minors in some form since the 2002 season, and leads the draft and international coverage on Pirates Prospects. He writes daily on Pittsburgh Baseball History, when he's not covering the entire system daily throughout the entire year on Pirates Prospects.

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