2014 Altoona Curve Season Recap and Top 10 Prospects

Altoona featured a lot of breakout players this year, including two of the biggest breakout stories in the Pittsburgh Pirates’ system in Adrian Sampson and Elias Diaz. They also had their share of top prospects throughout the year, including Nick Kingham at the start of the year, and Josh Bell at the end of the year. Below is a recap of the hitters and pitchers at the level, followed by the top ten prospects this year.

The Hitters

Altoona had a young group of hitting prospects, led all season by Alen Hanson. The infielder got off to another slow start, which is expected based on his experience at the Double-A level heading into the year. Hanson turned things around, posting an .804 OPS from May to the end of the season. He also showed improvements the final two months, with an .831 OPS in July and August. We knew that Hanson could hit, but the biggest story was his defense. That didn’t go well, with 29 errors at the shortstop position. The poor defense and the strong hitting led the Pirates to switch Hanson to second base at the end of the season. The focus with the move was to speed his bat up to the majors. That could have been due to the lack of a need for Hanson at shortstop now that Jordy Mercer is working out in Pittsburgh.

Joining Hanson for the full season in Altoona was fellow Dominican position player Willy Garcia. The outfielder had a big season from a power standpoint, with a .207 ISO and a .478 slugging percentage. The power was impressive, ranking among the best numbers seen in Altoona this year. However, Garcia posted some alarming strikeout numbers, and didn’t draw many walks. John Dreker outlined the issue here, noting that the odds of Garcia working out in the majors aren’t big, despite the impressive power. On the defensive side, Garcia brings a lot of value, with the best arm in the Eastern League, and the best outfield arm in the system.

Elias Diaz was the third Dominican prospect to play in Altoona from day one, although he played well enough to get a promotion to Indianapolis by the end of the season. Diaz was one of the big breakout players in the system, posting an .823 OPS in 326 at-bats. That showed huge improvements over what he did in Bradenton last year, continuing a progressive trend from his struggles in West Virginia two years ago. Diaz always had strong defense — perhaps the best in the Pirates’ system and named the best in the Eastern League. The added offense put him on the map as a Major League option, and has us putting him ahead of Tony Sanchez on future depth charts.

Two young guys who didn’t play full seasons in Altoona are Dan Gamache and Josh Bell. Gamache joined the team late, after missing four months with a broken foot. He came back and showed off some nice power. He was drafted as a strong defensive third baseman, and the Pirates tried him at second base, where the defense struggled. He played both positions in Altoona, and could have a future as a utility player. However, the lack of third base depth should give him more looks at third, especially if this limited sample of power is legit.

Bell is one of the top prospects in the system, and got a call to Altoona in the second half after crushing High-A pitching in the Florida State League. He didn’t post great numbers in Altoona, with a .652 OPS. This was mostly due to a lack of power. Bell had a .287 average and a .343 OBP, but struggled with a .309 slugging percentage. It was a very small sample size, and the scouting reports on Bell easily out-weigh that sample. He should return to Altoona at the start of the 2015 season, where he will hopefully be better adjusted for the upper levels after his 2014 experience, and after spending time in the AFL this off-season.

Stetson Allie returned to Altoona this year, and had much better results, showing off some nice power. He also showed a good ability to draw a walk, but struck out a lot in the process. This resulted in a Three True Outcomes stat line, which isn’t a bad thing in the majors. The problem is that three outcome guys in Double-A don’t usually make the majors. Allie will get every opportunity to make the majors, as he has some of the best raw power in the system. He has shown some good trends with his strikeouts, although that will have to continue, and he will have to start hitting for average in order to reach the big leagues.

Two outfielders really stood out this year in Mel Rojas and Keon Broxton. Both have similar back stories — drafted in the third round, lots of tools, previously highly rated on their original team’s prospect lists, and have struggled in the past at the Double-A level. Rojas has always been with the Pirates, showing off a lot of tools and potential, but never putting things together in a consistent way. He finally did that this year, putting up an .825 OPS and earning a promotion to Indianapolis. He should be a candidate to go on the 40-man roster this off-season, and could be outfield depth next season.

Broxton was acquired in a trade from Arizona in Spring Training for cash considerations. He struggled in Double-A last year for the Diamondbacks, but had a bit of a breakout year for Altoona, with an .853 OPS. That made him the hitter of the year at the level, and should get him a look at Indianapolis next year.

Both Rojas and Broxton project as fourth outfielders in the future. The Pirates had some other future bench players in Altoona this year, with the notable one being Gift Ngoepe. He’s the best defensive shortstop in the system, although he doesn’t have much of a bat. Ngoepe showed potential at times this year, but ended up with a .699 OPS. He will eventually reach the majors due to his defense, but his bat limits his upside to a strong defensive backup, likely working as depth out of Triple-A.

The Pitchers

Altoona featured the biggest breakout pitcher in the Pirates’ system this year in Adrian Sampson. The right-hander struggled in Bradenton last year, getting hit hard while flashing some impressive stuff. This year he made the jump to Double-A, despite those struggles, and put up a 2.55 ERA in 148 innings, with a 6.0 K/9 and a 1.8 BB/9. The difference? An improved changeup and better command of his arsenal. Sampson has a nice three pitch mix, after working all of 2013 on the changeup. He’s got the potential to be an innings eating middle of the rotation starter, and could see the majors in 2015. Sampson was promoted to Indianapolis at the end of the 2014 season, and should start back at the level next year.

Nick Kingham was the top pitching prospect at the level coming into the year, and finished as the top prospect at the level this season (although Josh Bell probably beats him out if he qualifies). Kingham returned to Altoona this year after spending half a season at the level in 2013. He struggled with his control at times, but ended up fixing those issues by the end of his run through the level. Kingham was promoted to Indianapolis at mid-season, where he had an amazing start, followed by a few rough stretches. He should be an option for the Pirates in mid-2015.

The other starting pitcher who was expected to do well was Joely Rodriguez, who had great results in West Virginia and Bradenton in 2013. Those results didn’t carry over to Altoona this year, as Rodriguez was hit around a lot, and didn’t see a lot of strikeouts. He eventually was moved to the bullpen, where his struggles continued. The Pirates moved him back to the rotation at the end of the year, but that didn’t fix the problem. Rodriguez has good stuff for a lefty, with a fastball that can hit mid-90s, a sinker in the upper 80s, and a slider and changeup in the low-t0-mid 80s with good movement on each pitch. Because of his struggles this year, and because of the success from other pitchers around him, it looks like his future with the Pirates will be in the bullpen, as there are better starting options ahead of him on the depth charts.

The rest of the Altoona pitching staff was filled with question marks, with a lot of guys who show potential, but lack one big thing that holds them back from prospect status. Zack Dodson keeps getting opportunities as a starter, since he has good stuff as a left-handed pitcher. The 2014 season was just another example of Dodson’s numbers not matching up to the stuff, which features a low 90s fastball and a big breaking curve. Tom Harlan earned a look in the AFL, and posted good numbers in Altoona, although he doesn’t have overwhelming stuff, and doesn’t strike many guys out. The Pirates claimed Angel Sanchez off waivers and gave him a look at the end of the year. He’ll probably be waiver wire fodder in the off-season, with the hope that he can clear waivers and remain in the system. Jeff Inman had good results this year, but lacked control, and has dealt with injuries all throughout his career.

Perhaps all of these guys can draw inspiration from John Holdzkom, who started his incredible story in the Pirates’ system with Altoona. Holdzkom pitched just six innings with the Curve, striking out ten batters, walking two, and giving up just one hit. He did this at the age of 26, which is very old for the level. The Pirates didn’t need to see any more, and moved him up to Indianapolis, before his eventual move to the majors as the current 7th inning guy. Holdzkom is just a reminder that a lot of these guys with talent but no results might be just one small adjustment away from breaking out.

Top 10 Prospects

The cutoff for eligibility on this list was 140 at-bats, 40 innings pitched, or 20 relief appearances. Guys who are no longer in the organization were also excluded. The biggest exclusions for Altoona were Josh Bell, Dan Gamache, and John Holdzkom. Bell would have definitely made the top 10, and might have challenged for number one, despite struggles at the level. Gamache had a shot at the final spot on the list.

1. Nick Kingham

2. Alen Hanson

3. Adrian Sampson

4. Elias Diaz

5. Stetson Allie

6. Willy Garcia

7. Mel Rojas

8. Joely Rodriguez

9. Keon Broxton

10. Gift Ngoepe

Tim started Pirates Prospects in 2009 from his home in Virginia, which was 40 minutes from where Pedro Alvarez made his pro debut in Lynchburg. That year, the Lynchburg Hillcats won the Carolina League championship, and Pirates Prospects was born from Tim's reporting along the way. The site has grown over the years to include many more writers, and Tim has gone on to become a credentialed MLB reporter, producing Pirates Prospects each year, and will publish his 11th Prospect Guide this offseason. He has also served as the Pittsburgh Pirates correspondent for Baseball America since 2019. Behind the scenes, Tim is an avid music lover, and most of the money he gets paid to run this site goes to vinyl records.

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Stetson Allie is Rule 5 eligible this year, correct? If they don’t protect him, I wonder if some bottom feeder (like Houston) who could get creative with hiding him on the 25 man/DL for the entire year would think about grabbing him due to the power potential.

C Shint

Ill bet good money they roster Allie. However, any chance we could get a better idea of how Diaz played at AAA? Anyone able to see him play at all, my eyes are on him next year esp if Martin doesn’t return


He only has two years in as a position player- pretty impressive and too much upside. Power is at a premium in this game. They’ll protect him. He’ll continue to progress as he has over the last two pushes to H-A and AA. Doesn’t get enough for for his defense. “Pretty darn good”

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