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Thursday, December 1, 2022

Third Mock Draft From Keith Law Has College Outfielder Falling to Pirates

Keith Law posted his third mock draft today(subscription required) and he has a surprising name falling to the Pittsburgh Pirates in the 24th spot. Law thinks that they could take Bradley Zimmer, the outfielder from San Francisco. This could be considered a huge drop for Zimmer, who was mentioned for awhile this season as the best college bat in the draft, ranked in the top ten for draft prospects numerous times.

Law mentions what we already know about the Pirates, that they will take best player available, regardless of position. If Zimmer really falls to them, I could see them taking him despite having plenty of depth in the outfield. Most people believed Zimmer wouldn’t make it past the Kansas City Royals, who have his brother Kyle in their farm system as one of their top prospects.

Bradley Zimmer has the potential for above average tools across the board, making him a polished five tool player. He has good speed, allowing him to steal bases and play center field, where his arm is above average. He can also hit for power and should hit for average as well. He would seem like a steal at the 24th pick.

Earlier today, Baseball America released their top 500 prospects list.  Zimmer ranks 14th on their list. He has dropped since early in the year, but this is the first time he has been as low as 24 in any mock draft.

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John started working at Pirates Prospects in 2009, but his connection to the Pittsburgh Pirates started exactly 100 years earlier when Dots Miller debuted for the 1909 World Series champions. John was born in Kearny, NJ, two blocks from the house where Dots Miller grew up. From that hometown hero connection came a love of Pirates history, as well as the sport of baseball.

When he didn't make it as a lefty pitcher with an 80+ MPH fastball and a slider that needed work, John turned to covering the game, eventually focusing in on the prospects side, where his interest was pushed by the big league team being below .500 for so long. John has covered the minors in some form since the 2002 season, and leads the draft and international coverage on Pirates Prospects. He writes daily on Pittsburgh Baseball History, when he's not covering the entire system daily throughout the entire year on Pirates Prospects.


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Simon Weaver

Monte Harrison is the only OF prospect I would take. A pure athlete like a Cutch, Byron Buxton. Really quick bat speed, really fast, a 5 tool guy. In five years, the OF landscape could be totally different, so go BPA. I also don’t move Tabata or Snider, well unless somehow they are wanted. I move Marte and some others (Addison Russell?), call up Polanco, and give Neil a 5 year/28.5M extension


Agree on Harrison and approach to drafting. Have to disagree on Tabata/Snider and Marte stuff. It seems just about a forgone conclusion Snider is out of here in a week or two. Tabata, with his contract and above average hit tool, seems destined for the 4th OF spot which is fine. Marte would not fetch Russell. It would take a more to grab Russell from the A’s. And Neil, while he’s having a great year, should not be extend five years under just about any circumstances. He does not project to age well,

Nathan Swartz

Does not project to age well…do any of us?

Monsoon Harvard

They have no shot at Zimmer, but it’s fun to speculate. Just like I do right after I buy my Cash 5 ticket for a buck every once in a while. Then I’m brought back to reality as usual.


I learned the hard way to trust Law’s use of his sources. The draft is too unpredictable to predict who a team with the 24th pick would take; but someone with insider knowledge can reconstruct a plausible scenario of a draft order. That, in any case, is how I read Law.




It seems to me that the pirates having four relatively high picks bodes well for their chances of having a really good draft. Gotta give huntington a ton of credit for getting pick 39 for morris.

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